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Hidden Liabilities in Cannabis Investments: What CEOs and Investors Need to Know in 2025
Apr 14, 2025
Dope CFO
The MedMen disaster still baffles financial experts. Despite having no
proven track record, the company's founders convinced sophisticated
investors to pour hundreds of millions into what would become one of the
Cannabis industry's most spectacular implosions. Sexual harassment claims,
allegations of fraud, questionable accounting practices, and ultimately a
$411 million bankruptcy filing—the warning signs were flashing in neon, yet
the checks kept flowing.
The allure is understandable. Cannabis revenues have climbed steadily for
15 consecutive years, approaching $40 billion annually without counting
hemp and CBD products. With federal rescheduling potentially imminent, the
market appears poised to rocket toward the $100 billion threshold faster
than anyone anticipated.
In this post, we examine the critical factors that Cannabis CEOs and
investors must understand to avoid becoming the next cautionary tale in
this rapidly evolving industry.
Strategic Vertical Selection for Cannabis Investments
Not all Cannabis industry segments present equal long-term potential.
Understanding the strategic positioning of different verticals is crucial
for making informed investment decisions.
Cannabis Product Manufacturing: The Most Promising Long-Term Play
Among Cannabis verticals, product manufacturing—particularly foods and
beverages—represents the most attractive long-term investment opportunity.
Similar to the alcohol industry, Cannabis-infused product manufacturing
offers sustainable profit potential even as the market matures.
The product manufacturing vertical offers several advantages:
- High gross profit margins (especially in beverages)
- Sustainable demand even in mature markets
- Opportunity for brand differentiation
- Long-term viability (50+ years)
Cultivation and Retail: Strong Medium-Term Opportunities
While cultivation and retail operations present attractive investment
opportunities in the 5-8 year timeframe, their long-term positioning may
become more challenging as the industry matures.
*Retail/Dispensaries:* In the long term, Cannabis dispensaries will likely
follow the liquor store model—geographically distributed by population,
largely undifferentiated, and eventually product sales will migrate to
mainstream retail channels.
*Cultivation:* As the Cannabis industry expands, cultivation will likely
see significant consolidation with large corporations entering the space
and increasing price pressure on smaller cultivators.
Critical Tax Considerations for Cannabis Investments
The tax implications of Cannabis investments remain one of the most
significant factors affecting profitability and valuation.
Section 280E Impact
The Cannabis industry continues to operate under IRC Section 280E, which
prohibits businesses trafficking in Schedule I substances from deducting
ordinary business expenses.
*Key misconceptions about 280E:*
1. *Entity structuring doesn't circumvent 280E* The Harborside case made
it clear—complex entity structures don't shield Cannabis operations from
280E restrictions.
2. *280E applies to "trade or business," not just formal entities* The
law specifically targets any Cannabis business activity, regardless of
formal business structure.
Maximizing Tax Efficiency Through Cost Accounting
Despite 280E limitations, Cannabis businesses—particularly cultivators and
manufacturers—can reduce their tax burden through proper implementation of
IRC Section 471.11 cost accounting methods.
This approach allows Cannabis businesses to properly allocate costs to
inventory, which becomes cost of goods sold (COGS) when products are sold.
Unlike business deductions, COGS is considered a return of capital and
remains deductible even under 280E.
Premature Tax Refund Claims: A Dangerous Strategy
Some Cannabis companies have filed tax refund claims anticipating
rescheduling to Schedule III—a high-risk strategy that the IRS has
explicitly warned against, noting these claims "do not constitute
reasonable basis."
Entity Structure Considerations for Cannabis Businesses C-Corporation vs.
Flow-Through Entity Analysis
While Cannabis businesses have traditionally debated between flow-through
entities and C-Corporations, current tax policy shifts favor C-Corporation
structures, especially with potential reductions in corporate tax rates.
*Advantages of C-Corporation structure for Cannabis businesses:*
- Reduced corporate tax rate (potentially 15%)
- No "double taxation" issue if profits are reinvested rather than
distributed
- Possible Section 1202 benefits at exit
- Audit protection for investors
Investor Protection Issues in Flow-Through Entities
For Cannabis investors, flow-through entities create significant risks:
*K-1 tax liabilities without distributions:* Investors in flow-through
Cannabis businesses often receive K-1s showing taxable income without
corresponding cash distributions, creating "phantom income" tax obligations.
*Audit risk exposure:* When the IRS audits a flow-through Cannabis entity,
the examination can extend to individual investors, potentially triggering
broader audits of their personal finances.
Risk Mitigation Strategies for Cannabis Investors
To protect Cannabis investments from both operational and regulatory risks,
implement comprehensive due diligence:
1. *Evaluate management team track record and integrity*
Before investing, thoroughly investigate the background of key
executives. The Cannabis industry has attracted both experienced business
leaders and opportunists with questionable histories. Verify previous
business experience, regulatory compliance records, and reputation within
the industry. Look for evidence of successful exits or sustainable business
growth rather than just Cannabis-specific experience.
2. *Verify financial controls and reporting systems*
Inadequate financial systems are a red flag in Cannabis operations.
Ensure the business has implemented robust accounting software, established
clear financial policies, and created separation of duties for cash
handling. Review recent financial statements for accuracy, consistency, and
transparency. Cannabis businesses handling large cash volumes are
particularly vulnerable to theft and mismanagement without proper controls.
3. *Ensure proper GAAP-level cost accounting implementation*
Given the tax implications of 280E, proper cost accounting isn't just
good practice—it's essential for financial viability. Verify that the
Cannabis operation has implemented formal GAAP-compliant cost accounting
methods, particularly for cultivation and manufacturing. This should
include detailed tracking of direct materials, direct labor, and proper
allocation of indirect costs to inventory. Request documentation of their
cost accounting methodology and evidence it's being consistently applied.
4. *Confirm appropriate entity structure for tax efficiency*
The entity structure directly impacts investor returns and risk
exposure. Review the operating agreements, tax status elections, and
corporate governance documents. For flow-through entities, ensure tax
distribution provisions are clearly defined. For C-Corporations, verify
they're positioned to take advantage of potential tax benefits like Section
1202 qualified small business stock exemptions. Consider how the structure
impacts potential exits and consolidation opportunities.
5. *Verify regulatory compliance across all operations*
Cannabis operations must navigate complex and often contradictory
regulatory frameworks. Confirm all licenses are current and in good
standing. Review compliance with seed-to-sale tracking requirements,
advertising restrictions, packaging regulations, and testing protocols.
Examine any regulatory violations or settlements, as these can indicate
systemic compliance issues that could threaten the business's viability and
create unexpected liabilities for investors.
Conclusion: Positioning for the Coming Cannabis Boom
As the Cannabis industry approaches potential federal rescheduling,
investors have an unprecedented opportunity for significant returns.
However, success requires navigating the industry's unique challenges and
hidden liabilities.
The most successful Cannabis investments will combine strategic vertical
selection, appropriate entity structuring, tax optimization, and robust
operational oversight. By addressing these factors proactively, investors
can minimize risk while maximizing potential returns in this dynamic market.